After the United States announced its withdrawal from the "Paris Agreement", Britain, France and other governments have publicly announced a timetable for the ban on the sale of fuel vehicles. Prior to this, countries such as Norway, the Netherlands, Germany, and India have reported that they intend to ban oil vehicles for sale in 2025. The issue of the direction of change and strategic planning for the new generation of automobiles has been pushed into the air, and has also exerted some pressure on other countries in the world. However, there are proposals and countries that have announced timetables for the banning of fuel vehicles are mainly concentrated in Europe. The reason is that Europe not only saw the trend of global energy structure adjustment, but also related to Europe's energy structure, environmental pressures, and advantages of its own industries and technologies, which is the need of Europe's strategic layout. The rest of the world, especially China, should make in-depth analysis and lay out in advance. First, combing the ban on fuel vehicles in various countries At present, only the United Kingdom (including Scotland) and the French government have officially announced plans to ban fuel vehicles. Other countries or some political parties or some state-level counties have proposed relevant proposals and have not yet formed a national-level document. Details are as follows: Norway: From the newspaper DagensN in 2016? The report of the ringsliv stated that Norway will ban the sale of new fuel car vehicles in 2025. It will then be fermented and quickly spread by Musk and the major media. The spokesperson Ola Elvestuen and the ruling Right Party in Norway have uttered refutations: The government has only reached a gradual The plan for entering a low-emission society is as yet unclear for the number of low-emissions and zero-emission vehicles, and it has never been said that the sale of fuel vehicles will be banned. Netherlands: From the NOS report of the Dutch national television station on April 5, 2016, the new proposal made by the Dutch Parliament’s Lower House for LabourPVdA “plans to ban the continued sale of gasoline and diesel cars in the territory in 2025, so as to ensure that after 2025 All new cars are new energy vehicles†expressed their support. Despite being strongly opposed by the right-wing party, the VVD, the bill was eventually passed and submitted to the Senate. However, as of now, the Netherlands has not yet issued official documents and specific plans. Germany: On October 8, 2016, the German Federal Senate passed an initiative that will prohibit the use of internal combustion engine vehicles on the road in 2030. Although there are many states that agree with this initiative, the federal government has the legislative power. It has not yet formed legislation and is merely an initiative. In fact, the political parties represented by the German Social Democrats (SPD) and the Green Party (Grünen) and the states they control support the proposal of the Senate and hope to extend it throughout Europe. However, automobile manufacturers and suppliers represented by the German Automobile Industry Association (VDA) do not believe that the fuel vehicles have no role in emissions. The implementation of the next Euro 6 standard will greatly reduce the emissions of fuel vehicles, and therefore oppose the development of a Clear timing of fuel vehicle bans. India: In May 2017, India’s Minister of Coal and Mineral Resources Goyal stated at the 2017 Indian Industry Conference held in New Delhi that India will vigorously promote electric vehicles and achieve self-sufficiency in electric vehicles. The ultimate goal is to reach 2030. In years, India will no longer sell petrol or diesel powered cars. According to media reports, an influential government think tank has drafted a report recommending that India fully implement electric vehicle electrification by 2032. However, it has not yet seen any official documents and plans from the government. France: In order to make the Paris Agreement a reality, the French government has written the “2040 Gasoline and Diesel Cars forbidden†into the “Climate Planâ€. At the same time, the government believes this decision will encourage the innovation of car manufacturers and make France a market for cars. leader of. United Kingdom: In 2016, the concentration of nitrogen dioxide in the United Kingdom exceeded the standards, and the air quality was a serious problem, which was seriously warned by the European Union. Coupled with the outbreak of the "emission gate" incident, Britain, the second largest automobile market in Europe, is paying more attention to the issue of car pollution. At the same time, the United Kingdom has a ambition to lead the world in electric vehicle technology and applications. Therefore, in the air plan, it is proposed that by 2040, the government will stop the sale of all new regular gasoline and diesel vehicles and trucks. Second, the reasons for the ban on fuel vehicles in Europe and India 1. Global energy structure changes to renewable energy, and the development of new energy vehicles has become an inevitable trend At present, the global energy structure is changing, the utilization rate of renewable energy continues to rise, and the cost of renewable energy is also gradually reduced. Countries have begun to deploy new energy industries one after another. On the other hand, the growth of global liquid energy consumption is mainly driven by transportation and industry, of which traffic contributes 2/3 of the increase. Therefore, reducing the consumption of crude oil by automobiles has become a common mission of the global automotive industry. Coupled with the global emission reduction targets in the Paris Agreement, new energy vehicles have become an important direction for the development of the automotive industry. This is also a current national government and automotive industry. Consensus reached. 2. Europe, for its own strategic considerations, preemptively proposed fuel vehicle ban First, fossil energy in Europe is highly dependent on foreign countries and has high potential for energy security. European countries, especially major economies (Germany, UK, France, Italy, Spain, etc.), have generally low energy self-sufficiency rates. Crude oil has an external dependency of about 88%, and natural gas has an external dependence of nearly 80%. It mainly depends on Russia. And imports from the Middle East. Coupled with the complex geopolitical issues, Europe also suffers from the situation of being controlled by people in terms of diplomacy. Energy security has always been the weakness of European countries. By prohibiting the sale of fuel vehicles, Europe can increase its energy self-sufficiency rate and ease the energy security crisis and political dilemma. Second, Europe faces enormous environmental pressure. European countries have a strong public awareness of environmental protection and do not want to sacrifice the environment in exchange for economic development. In recent years, over 80% of cities in Europe have air quality problems. Air pollution is regarded as the number one public health threat in Europe, and diesel vehicle emissions are the culprits. To this end, the European Commission calls on member countries to transition to a low-carbon economy, impose various stringent emission taxes, cut traffic, and popularize electric vehicles. In addition, major European countries including Germany, the Netherlands, Norway, and the United Kingdom also organized and established the International Zero Emission Vehicle Alliance (ZEV) after December 12, 2015, under the Paris Agreement. The target is until 2050. All signatories’ cars are zero emission vehicles. The environmental problems faced by major European economies and the signed "Paris Agreement" and the ZEV alliance target have forced the government to accelerate the management of fuel vehicles. Thirdly, the proportion of European renewable energy power generation is the world's leading, laying a good foundation for the development of new energy vehicles. At present, new energy vehicles have begun to change the energy input structure of the transportation industry (from oil to electricity). In Europe, electricity can be widely obtained from renewable energy sources. "BP World Energy Outlook" shows that the EU leads the world in the field of renewable energy use, and the proportion of renewable energy in its power structure also ranks first in the world. The proportion of renewable energy in Norway's power structure is even as high as 98%. In the next 20 years, the cost of onshore wind power and grid-connected PV will decrease by 25% and 40% respectively. The advanced renewable energy generation technology and better cost of power generation are expected to provide more important support for the European ban on fuel vehicles and provide new ideas for solving geopolitical issues. Fourth, Europe has the advantages of traditional automotive industry structure and emerging technologies that lead the world. According to relevant reports issued by international authoritative organizations, 11 of the world's most innovative and competitive top 15 countries or regions are from Europe. European countries are generally strong in technological innovation and international competitiveness, and are committed to maintaining a leading position in clean energy and electric vehicle technology. At the same time, Europe's structure and layout in the traditional automotive industry chain ensured its dominant position in core technologies and standards. In the new round of automobile revolution, Europe needs to make full use of its existing advantages to seize the commanding heights of technology, so as to maintain its position as the dominant automobile. Fifth, the strategic transformation of auto and parts giants gave European confidence in the ban on fuel vehicles. International auto giants such as Volkswagen, Daimler, BMW, Peugeot, Citroen, Renault, Volvo, and Toyota have all proposed strategies for the transformation of automobiles into electric vehicles, and clearly defined the time points for the realization of electrification, such as the Peugeot Citroen Group plans to In 2023, an electric version was launched for 80% of its models. Volvo announced that by 2019, its new model was either a full electric car or a hybrid car. In addition, the new round of automotive technology revolution is reconstructing the global auto industry structure, providing excellent opportunities for countries outside Germany. Currently, the only countries that have officially announced the ban on fuel vehicles are the United Kingdom (including Scotland) and France. In particular, the United Kingdom, as the second largest automotive market in Europe, has advanced new automotive technologies while relying on the research and development of high-end brands and racing cars. Moreover, the popularity of French new energy vehicles in Europe is relatively high. These factors have enabled European countries to smell opportunities and can reconstruct their position in the global automobile industry structure in the automotive technological transformation. 3. India does not have a deeper foundation for traditional cars. Directly deploying new energy vehicles is an important strategic opportunity. The Indian auto industry has just emerged and has little position in the traditional automotive industry. There is no deeper industrial foundation and there is no problem of the transformation and upgrading of the traditional auto industry. In addition, the rise of the Indian automotive industry is in the period of automotive technology revolution. At present, the world has reached a new trend for new energy vehicles, especially electric vehicles. With the help of a new round of automotive technology changes, the gap between new energy vehicles and the international level is relatively low. Low, India bans the sale of fuel vehicles, and the direct distribution of new energy automobile industry can provide important opportunities for domestic industrial development, joint industry development, and participation in the international automobile landscape. Third, some enlightenment 1. The development of new energy vehicles is a global trend, and China should speed up the relevant layout. Countries have begun to adjust their policies and technology layout to promote the development of new energy automotive technologies. China’s new energy vehicles currently rank first in the world in terms of production and sales, and have good market verification conditions. They should also seize the golden opportunity for a new round of automotive technological innovation to lay out the new energy automobile industry, strengthen technological innovation, and increase guidance efforts to truly realize a major automobile country. The transformation to a strong automobile country. 2. China, like Europe, also faces energy security and atmospheric pollution. At present, China's transportation fuel consumption accounts for about 60% of the total society's total fuel consumption. The dependence on foreign oil is about 65%, and the national energy security risks are highlighted. At the same time, China’s atmospheric environmental pollution is serious, and the public health problems that have arisen have become increasingly apparent. The report “Towards an Environmentally Sustainable Future—National Environmental Analysis of the People's Republic of China†shows that of the 500 largest cities in China, less than 1% of cities have met the World Health Organization recommended air quality standards, and the world’s pollution is the most serious. Of the 10 cities there are 7 in China. In the "Paris Agreement", China also expressed its determination to improve the quality of the atmospheric environment and claimed the corresponding improvement targets. 3. China's energy structure is also shifting toward the direction of cleanliness, with a good prospect for clean power supply. Due to the changes in economic structure and the promotion of environmental and climate policies, China’s energy structure is undergoing significant changes, and dependence on coal will gradually decrease. The proportion of China’s hydropower and nuclear power will gradually increase, with annual averages of 17% and 11.2% respectively. By 2035, it will be 9 times faster now, and the speed will be the fastest in the world. At the same time, the increase of renewable energy will exceed the sum of the United States and the European Union by 2035. Therefore, the prospect of China's energy structure can provide important support for the development of new energy vehicles. 4. China has a good foundation for new energy automotive industry. In recent years, China’s new energy vehicles have made considerable technological progress under the guidance of policy incentives and guidance, forming a good environment for industrial development. In 2016, the production and sales of new energy vehicles in China both exceeded 500,000 vehicles, ranking first in the world. At the same time, China actively carries out charging infrastructure construction. According to the statistics of China Charging Federation, as of July 2017, there are more than 180,000 public charging stations in China. National Grid has also indicated that the total number of charging piles connected to its subordinate vehicle networking platform has exceeded 167,000, which has achieved unified access and unified payment for most of the country's charging piles, which means that China has built the world's most extensive coverage area, The smart vehicles with the most equipment and the highest level of technology are networked. Therefore, no matter from the perspective of manufacturers or the market environment, China has a better foundation for the new energy automotive industry. Fourth, the proposal Regardless of the international environment or the changes in China’s energy structure, it is necessary to vigorously develop new energy vehicles and increase efforts to promote the transformation of automobiles into new energy sources, and it is also China’s re-established status in the new generation of automobile industry structure. Good opportunity. In order to strengthen the restrictions on the energy consumption and emissions of fuel vehicles, and formulate or introduce relevant policies on the timetable for the ban on the sale of fuel vehicles, the following points need to be done. 1. In-depth study of China's advantages and disadvantages in this round of global automotive revolution. The automobile industry is closely related to other fields such as energy, industry, and people’s livelihood, and China’s energy structure, power structure, industrial base, economic level, and regional and market conditions are different from those in European countries. Faced with new automotive technologies, we should fully understand what advantages we have and what are the disadvantages. This will directly affect whether our country can make an optimal strategy. 2. Accelerate the research and demonstration of the timetable for the introduction of banned fuel vehicles. In the face of bans in Europe and other countries, we should organize experts in relevant fields to fully demonstrate the necessity and feasibility of implementing the “fuel vehicle ban†in many aspects such as energy supply, power support, and core technology levels. Need to put forward a specific implementation plan. If new energy vehicles are widely used, how should our country's electricity be upgraded, how should the charging infrastructure be laid out, and a series of related issues such as how to meet the demand for cables and copper, silver and other raw materials, need to be demonstrated in detail. 3. Promote the implementation of the "double-integration" policy and increase the research and development of energy-saving and emission reduction technologies. The implementation of the double-integration policy is very important. It should be closely followed and adjusted based on actual results to speed up the structural changes in the auto market. At the same time, we must continue to increase efforts to enhance the energy-saving emission reduction technology of the engine to ease the existing energy security and air pollution problems as soon as possible, while accumulating advanced technologies for the development of next-generation vehicles. 4. Accelerate the layout of new-generation automotive core technologies, basic common technologies and related industries. In the field of traditional automobiles, China is a real automobile power, but it is not a car power. Although it has been the No. 1 production company for 8 consecutive years, the market share of parts and components companies is less than 30%. The key parts and components rely heavily on foreign companies, especially basic electronic components and semiconductor technology and industry are not mature enough. In the new-generation automotive technology revolution, China should seize the opportunity to lay out key components and basic common technology areas in advance, build the giants of the world’s automobile key components, and, as a result, have a better vehicle assembly industry and market in China. Establish a position in the global automotive industry and reshape the global auto industry. Water Sports Accessories,Surfing Accessories,Kayaking Accessories,Stand Up Paddle Board Accessories Suzhou Sikor Industry Co., Ltd. , https://www.sikor-group.com
May 09, 2023