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International oil prices rose slightly after the National Day holiday, speculation about the refined oil prices began to appear again. Stimulated by factors such as the weakening of the US dollar, international oil prices rose slightly on the 8th of this month. At the close of the day, light crude oil futures for delivery in November on the New York Mercantile Exchange rose 99 cents to settle at $82.66 a barrel.
At the end of July this year, international oil prices once fell, and once met the conditions for adjustment of domestic refined oil prices. However, the NDRC stated that crude oil price fluctuations did not meet the price adjustment boundary conditions and did not initiate measures to lower prices. According to financial and professional media, the NDRC has begun to evaluate the new refined oil pricing mechanism that was implemented last year, and issued a draft for the oil companies to adjust and improve the pricing mechanism, including the “new oil pricing mechanism will shorten the price adjustment. Cycle content.
Industry experts expect that the international oil price will increase by the end of October and exceed US$82. It is expected to reach the “window period†for domestic oil price adjustments in the middle and later of this month. The key to the adjustment of domestic oil prices is whether the international oil price will be firm at US$80 in the future. on. The latest research report of Credit Suisse said that due to the recent rise in the price of crude oil, the 22-day moving average price index of crude oil in the international market has been regained attention; from the trend point of view, this indicator will exceed the boundary condition of the price adjustment of 4% in the near future; After adjustment, it is expected that refined oil prices may increase by 3% in the third week of October. 
The “Beijing Capital Low Oil Price List†column launched on Monday entered the fourth period. Last week’s “low-priced champion†was RMB 6.0/liter. Gas stations with large price cuts were still concentrated in Chaoyang District, Haidian District and Tongzhou City. Districts, Fengtai District and other areas outside the 4th Ring Road, many private gas stations have introduced a discount price of less than the official guidance price of about fifty-three oil.
March 28, 2023